Patrick Mahomes Limping Into Playoffs With Weather Concerns

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes ended 2023 with his fewest average fantasy points (18.4) ever, closing as the QB10 in per-game scoring. While a 67.2% completion rate and 389 rushing yards signify career highs for Mahomes, his latest nine games show a dismal 85.7 passer rating and 12:8 TD:INT. The 28-year-old six-time Pro Bowler starts his sixth career postseason on Saturday for wild-card action versus the Miami Dolphins, and DFS players betting on Mahomes finally shifting into high gear will bank on his stellar 291.7 passing yards per game, 107.4 passer rating, and 35:7 TD:INT over 14 lifetime playoff contests. The Fins held Mahomes to his second-fewest pass yards in a game (185) this year in Week 9, but Miami's defense allowed the seventh-most passing TDs (27) in 2023. With sub-zero temperatures and gusty winds in the forecast, Mahomes' expectations need to be tempered as a low-end QB1.